Probability estimation based on decision history

Details Probability estimation based on decision history Probability estimation based on decision history

H - Electricity

03

M

354/143, 354/67

H03M 7/40 (2006.01)

Patent

CA 1291820

YO986-067 PROBABILITY ESTIMATION BASED ON DECISION HISTORY ABSTRACT OF THE DISCLOSURE Apparatus and method for adapting the estimated probability of either the the less likely or more likely outcome (event) of a binary decision in a sequence of binary decisions in- volves the up-dating of the estimated probability in response to the renormalization of an augend A. The augend A changes value with each binary decision, the size of the change de- pending on which of the binary events has occurred as input. Re-normalization of A occurs when the A value becomes less than a prescribed minimum value AMIN. According to the in- vention, there may be differing contexts in which binary de- cisions may occur, each context having a corresponding estimated probability value which is up-dated with binary decisions in the respective context. Also according to the invention, there may be one or more possible next values for an estimated probability in response to a given binary deci- sion event. The selection of one of multiple possible next values in response to a given binary decision event is pref- erably determined based on a renormalization correlation count.

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