Systems and methods for calculating and predicting near term...

G - Physics – 06 – Q

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G06Q 10/00 (2006.01) G06F 17/10 (2006.01) G06Q 50/00 (2006.01)

Patent

CA 2658107

Systems and methods (400) for calculating and predicting performance characteristics, incremental heat rate, capacity, incremental costs, production cost and emissions, for electric power generation plants, and in particular, those that use steam and gas-turbine prime movers. The system (400) includes models and modules for calculating current unit performance (420) and predicting unit performance (440) including the incremental heat rate (441) and maximum capacity (442), using unit operating parameters (424), unit configuration data (431), and fuel constituency data (432). The system further includes a module for forecasting or predicting unit performance and cost information (460), by allowing the user to alter unit configuration (467) and fuel constituency (468) data to model planned maintenance and projected fuel changes, and to account for anticipated atmospheric conditions (466).

L'invention concerne des systèmes et des procédés (400) permettant de calculer et de prédire des caractéristiques de performances, le coût thermique incrémentiel, la capacité, les coûts incrémentiels, les coûts de production et les émissions des centrales électriques et, en particulier, celles qui utilisent des appareils moteurs à turbine à vapeur et à gaz. Le système (400) comprend des modèles et des modules permettant de calculer le rendement unitaire courant (420) et prédire le rendement unitaire (440), y compris le coût thermique incrémentiel (441) et la capacité maximale (442), au moyen de paramètres de fonctionnement unitaires (424), de données de configurations unitaires (431) et de données sur la composition du combustible (432). Le système comprend également un module permettant de prévoir ou prédire des informations relatives au rendement unitaire et au coût (460) en autorisant l'utilisateur à modifier les données de la configuration unitaire (467) et de la composition du combustible (468) afin de modéliser la maintenance planifiée et les modifications prévues pour le combustible et de prendre en compte les conditions atmosphériques anticipées (466).

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